Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 6 points in Florida, new poll shows (Orlando Sentinel)

"The Day of Redemption is at hand," as the French parish priest told Sunday Mass parishioners in the beginning of the movie, The Longest Day.   At 1 am on the morning of June 6, 1944, my dad and some 11,000 other guys jumped out of the skies, parachuting into Nazi-occupied Normandy, France. My dad landed on a Sainte-Mère-Église farmer's roof. The farmer, thinking dad was a British pilot, offered him refuge. Dad responded, "I have to go fight."

Liberating America will involve ballots, not bullets. We must fight the fascists who have trampled on the soul of America and bungled governments, from the White House to state capitals to your local Sheriff's office, where constitutional rights are often violated by DONALD TRUMP-loving Sheriff DAVID SHOAR, the vicious silly satrap who legally changed his name from "HOAR" in 1994.

As Iron Maiden sang in The Longest Day:

How long on this longest day
'Till we finally make it through?
How long on this longest day
'Till we finally make it through?

Good news: Six point lead, less than six months out.  (170 days, or five months, 17 days).

Let's do this, America.

From the Orlando Sentinel:



Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by 6 points in Florida, new poll shows

Anthony Man
By ANTHONY MAN
SOUTH FLORIDA SUN SENTINEL |
MAY 15, 2020 | 8:30 PM


Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden has a 6-point lead over President Donald Trump in Florida, a poll of the state’s voters said Friday.
The Florida Atlantic University poll found Biden with 53% to Trump’s 47%.

Besides putting the former vice president and presumptive Democratic nominee above the 50% threshold, it also represents a move up for him and a slight move down for Trump
In contrast to Biden’s 6-point lead in the latest poll, which is outside the margin of error, Trump and Biden were effectively tied in FAU’s previous two polls.

Biden had a 2-point advantage in January and Trump had a 2-point advantage in March, both within the margin of error.
In March, FAU found Trump led Biden 51% to 49%.
In January, Biden was ahead 51% to 49%.
The earlier polls came before the full effects of the coronavirus began to be seen and felt by the nation. The previous FAU poll was released on March 9.
The Florida contest is critical to both sides. It’s the largest of the half-dozen swing states that could go either way in November and determine which candidate wins.
RELATED: FAU poll in March found Trump leading Biden in Florida »
Florida awards 29 of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency, and important statewide elections are almost always exceedingly close. In 2016, for example, Trump won 49% of the vote statewide to Democrat Hillary Clinton’s 47.8%.
AmeKevin Wagner, an FAU political scientist and research fellow at the university’s Business and Economics Polling Initiative, said there is a long time until Election Day, so the numbers don’t predict what will happen in November.
But, he said, the closeness shows that Florida is “likely to be once again very, very competitive.”

But for a significant share of the state’s voters, the most important issue isn’t an issue at all — it’s winning.
Among all voters, 20% said defeating Trump was the most important issue (36% of Democrats) and 13% said re-electing Trump was the most important issue (26% of Republicans).
Given the feelings both Democrats and Republicans have about Trump, Wagner said the winning campaign is probably not going to be the one that persuades voters to come its way, rather the one that turns out more of its supporters.
Biden has said he plans to select a woman as his running mate.

The most controversial female name the pollsters put on the list — unsuccessful 2016 nominee Hillary Clinton — was the pick of 10% of Democrats.
Among the more plausible possibilities: U.S. Sen. Kamala Harris of California, 21%; Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, 21%; 2018 Georgia gubernatorial candidate Stacey Abrams, 15%; and U.S. Sen. Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota, 11%.
U.S. Rep. Val Demings of Orlando, who received wide attention as one of the House impeachment managers in the case against Trump, was the choice of 4%.
Fine print
The latest results come from an FAU Business and Economics Polling Initiative survey of 928 Florida registered voters conducted online and through automated calls to people with landline telephones from May 8-12.
It had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points. The sample size for subgroups, such as Republicans or Democrats, is smaller, so the margin of error is higher.
Anthony Man can be reached at aman@sunsentinel.com or on Twitter @browardpolitics

Anthony Man is the Sun Sentinel's political writer. Concentrating on local political people, parties and trends, he also covers state and national politics from a South Florida perspective. He previously covered Palm Beach County government and made repeated reporting trips to Tallahassee. He has also covered state and local politics in Illinois.